Circa 2050 Advisors LLC employs a mix of quantitative and qualitative research methods to answer some of the world’s most pressing questions. Firmly rooted in big data analysis, computer programming, and machine learning, we take a look behind the scenes to arm policy makers and business leaders with the information necessary to drive change.
Bio
Aaron Tyrell Mitchell
Aaron is a researcher and writer focused on identifying the trends that will shape the global economy of tomorrow. Specializing in international finance, emerging markets, and new forms of energy, he draws the connections that help investors and policy makers answer the question: What’s Next?
Aaron holds an M.A. in International Economics from Columbia University and a B.A. in Political Science from Georgetown University. His programming language of choice for data analysis is Python, but he can also run a mean SQL query. See his GitHub profile for a few examples of his data coding skills. Aaron is based in Seattle, WA, but is available for projects globally.
Analysis
Dangers of Time Series Analysis
Time series statistical analysis is a very useful way of examining data over time to explain past events as well as forecast the future. For example, looking at airline ticket costs, past demand for air travel, economic growth and other factors, an airline may hope to forecast future demand. This ability to estimate the future …
NAFTA
Trade has been on the forefront of the economic conversation in the US since the 2016 presidential election. Having already scrapped the TPP during its first days in power, the Trump Administration has set its sights on NAFTA calling it a “catastrophe” and “unfair for the American worker.” Entering into force in 1994, the North …
Subsidies and Growth
Federal subsidies have long been a part of the US political and budgetary system, and they undoubtedly have a cumulative effect on US fiscal policy. Based on data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), federal subsidies have grown right alongside GDP. Figure 1 As expected, the bulk of subsidy payments have been …
Contact
We are based in Seattle, WA at the moment, but who knows what the future holds.
Wherever we are in the world, you can always reach us at info@circa2050advisors.com